Is Recency Bias Causing Fans to Underrate Shane Wright?

PETERBOROUGH, ON - MARCH 29: Shane Wright #51 of the Kingston Frontenacs skates against the Peterborough Petes in an OHL game at the Peterborough Memorial Centre on March 29, 2022 in Peterborough, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Ken Andersen/Getty Images)

In recent years, specifically dating back to 2017 when Nico Hischier was selected 1st overall, there have been no standout superstars selected with the first overall pick.

In 2017 we had Hischier as mentioned. Hischier has had a very good career so far but fans expected more from a 1st overall pick. In 2018, it was Rasmus Dahlin selected by the Buffalo Sabres. Although a bit underwhelming at first, I think Dahlin turned it around this year by being named to the Atlantic Division All-Star team.

In 2019, Jack Hughes was taken by the Devils. He had one of the worst rookie years by a 1st overall pick ever, but has since really turned it around and is looking very promising. in 2020, it was the Rangers picking Alexis Lafreniere. He hasn’t had any standout years yet, but it’s way too early to judge with only 2 years under his belt. Finally, Owen Power went to the Buffalo Sabres in the 2021 draft. Power has only played a short stint in the NHL after his year in the NCAA concluded.

KITCHENER, ONTARIO – MARCH 23: Shane Wright #51 of Team Red skates against Team White in the 2022 CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game at Kitchener Memorial Auditorium on March 23, 2022 in Kitchener, Ontario. (Photo by Chris Tanouye/Getty Images)

This brings me to my point. With the recent disappointment in the 1st overall picks, is it possible fans are now jumping to conclusions when saying ‘Shane Wright is overrated’? Well, indeed, Shane Wright’s numbers this past season with Kingston weren’t exactly up to par with expectations, but it’s important to remember that he missed his sophomore season in the OHL, the most important year for development in my opinion. Although very unusual, I wouldn’t be opposed to sending Wright back to the OHL to continue his development for one more season.

Kent Hughes, Jeff Gorton, and Martin St. Louis should seriously consider giving Shane Wright a few trial games at the start of the year in Montreal if he does indeed crack the roster out of camp. If he doesn’t play as well as we had maybe hoped, it’s no big deal to send him to Kingston or Laval if necessary.

The scouting reports, the stats, and the numbers show that Shane Wright is the best option to be taken 1st overall by the Montreal Canadiens this summer. Shane Wright himself had this to say in an interview when asked about the importance of being picked first:

“It’s really important to me. i deserve to be the first overall pick, i deserve to have that honor. i believe i am the best player in this draft.”

Shane Wright on an interview on Sportsnet with Sam Cosentino

Shane Wright met with the Canadiens on Monday. Sources say that the Canadiens are leaning towards selecting him at this time.

To talk about Shane Wright’s game; he’s very complete. He was a leader for the Kingston Frontenacs, being the captain this past season. He put up 94 points this past year with Kingston, including 32 goals and 62 assists. Wright will also represent Team Canada at the world junior championship this August in Edmonton, Alberta.

Kent Hughes and Jeff Gorton will make the right decision come NHL draft day, and select Shane Wright 1st overall.

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